In a significant development for the women’s basketball landscape, Olivia Miles, a highly regarded guard from Notre Dame, has opted to enter the transfer portal. This decision is poised to alter the expected dynamics of the 2025 WNBA Draft, where she was predicted to be a top-three pick. Instead of making the jump to professional basketball, she plans to extend her college career at a new institution.

The Current Landscape of Player Eligibility

The era of pandemic-related eligibility extensions has largely concluded, as the players eligible for such consideration were mostly involved during the 2020-21 season. Nevertheless, the intricacies of player eligibility continue to influence decisions for WNBA prospects. Notably, Miles, who sustained a torn ACL and missed a season, qualifies for an additional year of collegiate play due to a medical redshirt. Additionally, juniors eligible to enter the draft who reach 22 years of age before the draft date have the flexibility to remain in school or pursue a professional career.

Miles’ Marketability and Draft Prospects

Recognized by WNBA scouts and executives, Miles’ stock in the upcoming draft was notably high, with many labeling her a safe pick after UConn’s Paige Bueckers. Her exceptional growth as a three-point shooter—improving from 24.6% prior to her injury to 40.8% afterward—coupled with her adept playmaking skills, established her as a prized talent.

However, the potential for Miles’ draft stock to decline exists if she cannot maintain her shooting consistency. Thus, her decision to play another season hinges on multiple factors: the financial implications of entering the draft preemptively, her recovery from injury, and the timing of her transfer.

Financial Considerations in the WNBA

The WNBA is currently engaged in negotiations for a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA), which could lead to significant salary increases for players. This has led many agents to suggest that players like Miles, who have the option for an extra year of eligibility, remain in college. By deferring their entry into the league, these athletes might secure more lucrative contracts once the new CBA is in effect.

The Timing of Miles’ Transfer Decision

If she acts swiftly in her transfer process, Miles may still capitalize on name, image, and likeness (NIL) opportunities before the upcoming hearing on the House v. NCAA lawsuit, scheduled for April 7. As a two-time All-American, her marketability in college sports is substantial, giving her the potential to maximize earnings through NIL deals.

Health and Performance Post-Injury

Despite the optimism of many within the WNBA regarding her recovery, Miles has expressed that she is not yet at her physical peak following her injury. “My physical shape could be better,” she remarked in an interview. “This injury is a long process. Even after you’re healed, getting the rest of your body to catch up… I would say I’m not even 75 percent of the way there yet.” This uncertainty about her condition may further complicate any decisions regarding the draft.

Motivations for Remaining in College

Beyond personal health considerations, there are also competitive motives for Miles to stay in college longer. The 2024-25 season ended for her team in the Sweet 16, a performance that fell short of expectations for a team that had once been ranked No. 1. With key teammates departing and questions about team dynamics persisting, Miles could benefit from finding a new environment where she is positioned as the primary playmaker.

The Evolving Dynamics of Women’s College Basketball

Other prominent athletes are also choosing to prioritize their college careers. For instance, Flau’jae Johnson, a junior at LSU, recently expressed desires for more championships before moving onto the WNBA. Similarly, Ta’Niya Latson, a 2025 All-American, decided to enter the transfer portal rather than the WNBA draft, further illustrating an emerging trend among players aiming for collegiate success before transitioning to professional leagues.

Conclusion

The decision by Olivia Miles to enter the transfer portal encapsulates the shifting landscape in women’s college basketball, where player agency is growing in tandem with evolving financial opportunities. As the 2025 WNBA Draft approaches, her choices will not only impact her career trajectory but also serve as a reflection of broader changes influencing female athletes today.

(Photo: Michael Reaves / Getty Images)